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The Wallstrip Blog

December 1, 2008

What is a recession? You’re looking at it

by Wallstrip 1
What is a recession? You’re looking at it

That’s right, we’re “officially” in a recession. Shocker.

Economists define a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product. So…you’re never officially in a recession until after it’s been going on for awhile. By then, you already know you’re in a recession and you’re hopefully pulling out of it. No such luck for this particular recession.

Here’s more, from CNN:

  • The National Bureau of Economic Research said Monday that the U.S. has been in a recession since December 2007, making official what most Americans have already believed about the state of the economy.
  • The NBER is a private group of leading economists charged with dating the start and end of economic downturns. It typically takes a long time after the start of a recession to declare its start because of the need to look at final readings of various economic measures.
  • The NBER said that the deterioration in the labor market throughout 2008 was one key reason why it decided to state that the recession began last year.
  • Employers have trimmed payrolls by 1.2 million jobs in the first 10 months of this year. On Friday, economists are predicting the government will report a loss of another 325,000 jobs for November.
  • The NBER also looks at real personal income, industrial production as well as wholesale and retail sales. All those measures reached a peak between November 2007 and June 2008, the NBER said.
  • In addition, the NBER also considers the gross domestic product, which is the reading most typically associated with a recession in the general public.

Read the full story here.


One Comment

  • Jason One month ago

    According to Keynes, the root cause of an economic downturns is an insufficient aggregate demand. When the total demand for goods and services declines, businesses throughout the economy see their sales fall off. Lower sales induce firms to cut back production and to lay off workers. Rising unemployment and declining profits further depress demand, leading to a feedback loop with a very unhappy ending.

    90% of the time you can make statistics show whatever you want 50% of time

    http://nomedals.blogspot.com

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